Showing posts with label Sun City. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sun City. Show all posts

Wednesday, 14 January 2009

WHAT WENT WRONG? SUN CITY (II)

I. The nature of the postcolonial State and its failure

The African postcolonial State theoretically followed the model of the Western State. Like its theoretical model, it was supposed to provide the political framework for development in general. However postcolonial State acquired the colonial model, which was not exactly like the modern Western State. Colonial powers put in place political structures meant to run colonies like huge private properties. In general terms this was true for all African colonies and particularly for the one called the Belgian Congo, which became later the Belgian Congo-Ruanda-Urundi. Since the governed people were not sovereign, the governing leadership was accountable only to metropolitan power. This practice consecrated paternalism and clientelism in the way of conducting public affairs, as well as an excessive centralization of power and the subsequent excessive bureaucracy. These are four features of the colonial political order inherited by the postcolonial State. They are at the root of the State failure because of the fact that they created blotted institutions mostly incapable of framing coherent policy. It is not only the form of the State that was meant to fail, but also the institutions created with it could not be compatible with the expected structural growth.

Indeed, in postcolonial Africa – and for this the DRC is a typical example- the leadership never considered itself as accountable to the people. If the governing leadership in colonial DRC considered itself accountable to the metropolitan powers, in postcolonial one, the leaders responded only to their direct supporters, considering that maintaining their power depended on how they kept them happy, providing them with resources, jobs, business opportunities etc. Actually this is how clientelism held: they represented their clients, who were first and foremost Western powers (being themselves in the throws of the cold war balance of power), their family, clan, or tribe. Even ethnic strife originates from here because of the Machiavellian divisionism needed by the leaders in order to keep themselves in power and the others at bay. This was a homegrown version of the divisions sawn during colonialism. Obviously, such practice erased the sense of politics as service to the people, to public good and common good. In this context, the postcolonial leadership changed completely the sense of public governance. It can be said that this sense was thoroughly perverted from the start and was lost progressively, until what we see today under the form of the complete absence of the rule of law, the extreme infrastructure deterioration, absurd bureaucracy and the State inability to offer a minimum of basic services. Today’s State, at least for the case of the DRC, appears as an empty shell approximately from the decade of the 80s, or even since the famous “zaïrianization” decided by Mobutu at the beginning of the 70s. When a country reaches this stage (the stage of an empty shell), it is run by informal mechanisms which take on the form of more acute clientelism and corruption, pandering of national resources, public funds in benefit of a very limited number of people. Some of those informal mechanisms are just strategies for simple survival, especially for minorities.

The State inability to fulfill its formal tasks erodes absolutely its authority together with its capacity to reform. In consequence it does not control any unruly mechanisms, which it instead fuels, thus generating higher levels of corruption and violence; it loses the ability to protect its people and its territorial integrity; and hence its governing leadership loses legitimacy. What happened in DRC, from the kléptocratique regime of Mobutu and his fall, passing through the entry of Rwandan génocidaire forces into the Eastern part of the country in 1994, the 1996 war until the Sun City dialogue, is perfect picture of what a failure of the postcolonial State means. No process of democratization could restore a State which has crossed a critical threshold of collapse without negotiating with the informal powers precisely created by lack of the State authority. This fact explains in part why Sun City being the only alternative agreed upon under donors’ pressure to solve the deliquescence of the State in the DRC cannot be considered as a success, though it has allowed some kind of legal framework where there was none left.

Monday, 5 January 2009

WHAT WENT WRONG? SUN CITY (I)

Contextualizing The Question

The future for the Democratic Republic of Congo, despite recent developments in its complex crisis, is a better future more than pessimistic realism would suggests. Persisting conflict is compelling to overcome stereotypes in the situation’s analysis, a fact that is broadening slowly the number of people willing to get involved for the right reasons. There is an unprecedented inclusive participation of the International Community where there used to be only a few European diplomats and businessmen dealing directly with the highest levels of a dictatorial leadership. Since the mid 1990s, foreign analysts and policy advisors have produced all kinds of assessment over the situation. They keep announcing an imminent collapse. Envisioning a better future should start from an approach that goes beyond a recurring flawed logic applied to the DRC in two aspects: the perception of the country’s problems in their causes and the country’s leadership endemic resistance to seize the opportunities of changing times.

First, it is useful to deal with the remote cause of the crisis, which is not exclusive to the DRC. Principally it is the nature of the postcolonial State, which led to generalized failure. The biggest obstacles to peace and sustainable development (corruption at all levels of governance and armed conflicts) are both consequences of the State’s failure. External interference (colonial policy, cold war policy and shifting sands of new geopolitics after the fall of the Berlin wall, increasing role of inefficient UN resolutions), economic hopelessness and ethnic violence can be traced back to this same political origin as its different dimensions.

Secondly, it is convenient to look into the interlocking immediate causes that led to the current crisis. They can be found in the flaws of the Sun City’s agreement in 2003. This agreement is directly related to three major issues to be kept in mind while assessing DRC problems. Those three issues are, in turn, directly connected to the actual features of the Congolese dysfunctional order: a) the transitional institutions; b) the so called democratization brought about by the adoption of a new constitution in February 2006 and the presidential and parliamentary elections; and c) the armed conflict in the Eastern part of the country.

Thirdly, it is helpful to show what can be seen as flawed logic in the perception of the crisis. In the name of preserving the legitimacy of the new institutions, the complex causes of crisis have become increasingly reduced to only one factor as it appear in International NGOs reports, Foreign diplomats and UN official declarations, and those of the Congolese government. According to this flawed logic, the DRC problem is a security problem posed by a surprisingly disciplined rebellion in the East. Neighboring countries, particularly Rwanda and Uganda are usually blamed by the Kinshasa leadership and their foreign supporters, stirring up endemic hatred among the people, and poisoning regional diplomatic relations. The irresponsible sweeping characterization of Laurent Nkunda and his CNDP, for example, has gone as far as establishing a moral equivalence of the movement with the Rwandan genocidaire forces still active in the Kivus and other parts of the country. This perception contributes heavily to silencing anyone questioning Kinshasa’s lack of political will in dealing with so many, grave and dangerous other threats against security, stability, and development. Showing such misrepresentation implies also elaborating on the role of foreign political partners (UN, EU, et al.) and their impact both on the crisis and its possible solution.

Understanding these different causes is a must to understanding the problem, and hence, the way forward to sustainable peace, a sine qua non condition for sustainable development. A misconception of these same causes, even from well wishing analysts, politicians and diplomats has fueled the crisis or offered very slim margins for sustainable solutions. The way to sustainable development must first acknowledge the failure of mechanisms used in the past, even in recent past. The end, the means and also the method sought indicate the order of priorities: there cannot be economic reforms at large scale without political reforms and precise ones at every level of the society. And there cannot be entrepreneurial development if there is no peace.

Lastly, it could be interesting to elaborate on development opportunities for the DRC in the global context, as another means to sustainable peace. Indeed, effort in business development and opportunities must be one of the most effective incentives to promote peace. I would suggest that there is an urgent need for bold policy and programmes specifically in the fields of the political form of governance, education, infrastructure and industrialization. Development will be achieved by creating an environment for private enterprise, which requires positive political will capable of generating, for business people and foreign investors, trust. Areas of possible development of private enterprise are suggested taking into account: a) the context of a country that has never been well administered territorially; b) the lack of training due to a long term dysfonctionning educational system; c) the enormous potential of the country, at small scale and large scale, including relations with economic powers and multinationals.

Thursday, 4 December 2008

EUROPE-BELGIQUE

À quoi s'attendait-on donc? À voir un match entre la toute puissante Europe gouvernée par la France, et le CNDP de Laurent Nkunda? En réalité ce n'est pas la Belgique à laquelle l'Europe a dit non pour les troupes. C'est à l'indécrottable ONU qui, non contente d'avoir échoué dans sa soi-disante mission de paix, a voulu transposer la responsabilité d'une guerre régionale sur la scène européenne. Pour l'instant, c'est non, remarquez les larmes de Crocodile de Reed Brody, et oui, vous l'avez bien deviné, celui de HUMAN RIGHTSWATCH!!!


Oui, il faut négocier. Pourquoi Kinshasa ne le veut pas? C'est parce qu'elle est incapable d'appliquer ce qui serait négocié. En plus il y a un autre problème, que même les rebelles doivent avoir en tête, ces négociations si elles prennent corps un jour, doivent être absolument différentes de la sarabande qui dure depuis Lusaka, Sun City... Il faut oser toucher la où le bas blesse, c'est à dire considérer la structure fédérale de la RDC. Cela fait faire des cauchemars à Kabila et sa clique, mais aussi ses parrains. Mais c'est de là qu'il faudra commencer. C'est l'unique façon d'institutionaliser une structure humanitaire qui respecte les minorités et n'esclavise pas leur capacité de développement. Même Marie France Cros, pourtant courageuse n'ose pas en parler, elle se limite à la reforme de l'armée et bla bla bla...